Science

2022 mid-term findings and observations

In form of Final votes are yet to be counted In many battleground states, Democrats defended the predictable Republican “Red Wave”.

As of Wednesday evening, CBS News Characterizing Senate Control as a Toss-Up While four seats are yet to be decided. CBS News estimated that the House, meanwhile, bowed republicansAlthough Republicans are projected to have between 210 and 200 seats for Democrats, far less than a landslide victory.

Here are some excerpts from the resulting midterm election:

Big night for abortion rights advocates

Reproductive rights advocates seek to protect abortion rights through ballot measures won from coast to coast. The future of abortion access was directly up on voting in five states, and a large swath of first-time voters voiced their views on the hot-button issue after the Supreme Court struck down abortion rights under the federal constitution. in June.

In California, Michigan and Vermont, CBS News Project voters approved proposals to amend their state constitutions to protect reproductive rights. But the biggest win for abortion rights advocates is expected to come from Kentucky, where CBS News anticipates a proposal to amend the state’s constitution does not protect abortion rights and state funding for abortions. likely to be banned. A reliably red state, Kentucky, follows another traditionally conservative state, Kansas, possibly rejecting an attempt to restrict abortion access. In the fifth state, Montana, it is unclear whether voters approved a legislative referendum asking voters to adopt the Born Survived Infant Protection Act, which declares babies born alive after abortions. Yes, he is a legal person.

,Melissa Quinn

helped induce abortion John Fetterman in his narrowly won Senate race In Pennsylvania, which CBS News polling found was the only Senate battleground state where abortion topped inflation as the most important issue for voters – fueled by women choosing abortion as their top issue.

The move reflected in the pro-abortion rights position in abortion ballot measures is particularly important in Kentucky and Montana, both largely republican states with supermajorities in the legislature. And in Michigan, a Democrat not only got re-elected as governor, but also flipped the state house. According to TargetSmart, voter registration among women has increased after Dobb in 45 states.

—Caitlin Huey-Burns

Below-average medium-term performance of the GOP

Republicans may very well take the House, but it was a poor performance by historical standards. Not only did they perform much worse than estimates based on fundamentals such as the economy and presidential job approvals, but they also performed worse than the average mid-term performance by an out-of-power party. (Throughout the campaign, CBS News’ Battlegrounds tracker model consistently indicated that the GOP’s gains would be lower than usual this year.)

Democrats remain competitive in several battlefield districts across the country, and CBS News polling shows this is in large part due to abortion as an issue and the related perception that the Republican candidate was too extreme.

—Kabir Khanna

Democrats limit damage

So far, it appears Democrats had a more tight coordination of campaigns and messaging, and stuck to issues that polled poorly because coordinated voter contacts told them it would work. It is boring and often overlooked political work – but it matters and may have been overstated here.

—Major Garrett

courts and maps

Finally, judges in New York and Florida may have more to do with the House swing than any other force in America. The New York Democrats’ rejection of the congressional map and Ron DeSantis’ embrace of Florida Gov.

—Major Garrett

Biden

at a press conference on WednesdayPresident Biden expressed relief about better-than-expected results from the mid-term. The White House was ready for a red wave that didn’t materialize – a victory of sorts for the president despite challenging economic conditions. Nevertheless, the House is still likely to be controlled by Republicans and the fate of the Senate may not be known. Mr Biden was asked about the next election in 2024. It is his “intent to run again”, he said, but added that it is a “great honor of fate” and ultimately it is a family decision. He added that he is not feeling rushed to make decisions and estimates Guess it will be “early next year” when he and the First Lady decide.

—Kathryn Watson

Trump’s election denial takes a beating

Former President Trump’s stock falters more than at any time before it was announced in 2015, Republicans close to Trump and those who have tried to distance themselves agree. His policy views stand, but the electoral denial he has complained about since the 2020 election has collapsed. And so was his interference in the primary which nominated flawed candidates. GOP strategist Jeff Rowe summed it up as “headwind versus headcase.”

—Major Garrett

Here are some Trump-backed Republicans who lost: Mehmet Oz (Pennsylvania Senate), Doug Mastriano (Pennsylvania governor), Tudor Dixon (Michigan governor), Lee Zeldin (New York governor), Tim Michels (Wisconsin governor).

—Kathryn Watson

Strong performance for DeSantis

That staggering night for Trump could open the way to 2024 for DeSantis, who fared much better on election night, easily winning Miami-Dade County and the entire state. According to exit polls, he and Sen. Marco Rubio also won the Latino vote: 56% of Latinos voted for DeSantis; 54% for Rubio. Both had lost the Hispanic vote in their previous elections in 2018 and 2016, respectively.

,Katherine Watson, Eran Ben-Porath and Jennifer De Pinto

A revival of the “normal Republican” on the horizon?

Two-term GOP Gov. Larry Hogan of Maryland, who is considering a 2024 presidential bid, is eager to lead a revival of what he calls a “normal Republican” in the wake of a disappointing turn by candidates backed by former President Donald Trump. “I don’t know if it was a complete denial of Trump and Trump’s politics, but it certainly was a better night for Republicans,” Hogan said. “Those Republicans won almost everywhere.”

For years, Hogan said, “I felt like I was on a lifeboat on my own, inside the GOP, with “everyone on the Trump Titanic” and some allies for his conservative but Trump-skeptical approach.

“Now we need a bigger boat,” he said, as fellow Republicans reach a political crossroads and contemplate the future of the party.

—Robert Costa

Latinos and Republicans

The share of Latino voters voting for Republican House candidates has increased compared to four years ago. In 2018, 29% of Hispanic voters voted for Republican. According to the exit polls, now this share has become 39 percent.

,Katherine Watson, Eran Ben-Porath and Jennifer De Pinto

Chaos in the new majority?

If Republicans win the House (CBS News estimates the House leans toward Republicans), the thinner the majority, the more chaotic it will be for the party. House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy is still the overwhelming favorite to become speaker, but each individual member will have more power to price McCarthy the moment he should have a vote. What really matters is when it comes to basic governance mechanisms – like raising debt limits or passing spending bills.

—Rebecca Kaplan

Republicans had set their leadership elections for next week, but it is not clear whether that program will remain in place if they have a limited majority. Republicans may need more time to find consensus within their caucuses. The far-right wing of the party – outspoken election denials and sympathizers with Capital rioters – can be a very loud voice in the House.

—Kathryn Watson

How did democracy happen?

Democracy flourished as we know it. High turnout and accessible voting took place. Transparent vote counting took place. Mistakes were reported and resolved. Losing candidates generally accepted. Tolerance wins over denial – not everywhere, but in many places, and everywhere where it happens unexpectedly.

—Major Garrett

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