Science

CBS News Battleground Tracker: Shapiro maintains lead against Maastriano in Pennsylvania governor’s race

Democrat Josh Shapiro is nine points ahead of Republican Doug Mastriano in the race for Pennsylvania governor. Shapiro took an 11-point lead last month.

Shapiro is helped by high personal favorable ratings, along with the perception that he is more mainstream in his views than Maastriano.

Since September, more Republicans have gathered behind Maastriano, but not quite on the level of his GOP counterpart running for Senate, Mehmet Oz. Eighty-seven percent of Republicans are supporting Maastriano, while 94% of Republicans support Oz.

Related to this, we see one in 10 of Oz’s supporters running for governor to support Democrat Shapiro. (Low Fetterman voters are passing one Maastriano after another.)

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As well as helping Shapiro, the majority of Pennsylvania voters think Shapiro’s views are “mainstream” and think Maastriano is “extreme.”

The “extreme” label is hurting Maastriano among independent voters. Most independents describe his views that way, and those who do are voting for Shapiro.

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On issues, Shapiro leads a large section of voters who say abortion is very important in their vote. And he maintains his big lead among women since September, rising to more than 40 points among women who prioritize the issue of abortion.

The economy, inflation and crime are issues that are an advantage for Maastriano, but his lead over Shapiro among voters who prioritize these issues is not as widespread as we have seen for Republican candidates in other battlefield contests where the races are close. , probably giving him relatively little traction in this race.


This CBS News/YouGov Battleground Tracker survey was conducted with a statewide representative sample of 1,084 registered voters in Pennsylvania between October 21-24, 2022. The sample was weighted by gender, age, race, education, and geographic region based on the US. Census current population survey, as well as for the 2020 presidential election. The margin of error is ±4.1 points.

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